///// AURA Budget Runway · the moat

Know how much money is actually left to win.

An approved budget is a ceiling, not what's available. PursuitIQ joins appropriations to obligations to show the remaining unobligated balance behind a pursuit — the number that tells you whether the work can still be awarded. No commodity data provider sells this.

///// The instrument

Remaining unobligated, behind a single pursuit.

Federal account · 086-0302Tenant-Based Rental Assistance · FY2024
$10.8B
Remaining unobligated
obligated · $56.0Bremaining unobligated · $10.8Btotal budgetary resources · $66.8B
computed: resources − obligations · sources USAspending + OMB apportionments · data as of 2024-09-30
/////How it's computed

Deterministic at the core. Labeled estimates at the edges.

01

Reconcile from one source

Remaining unobligated = total_budgetary_resources − obligations, taken from USAspending's own account-level data so the operands reconcile — not an apportioned figure minus obligations from a different feed.

02

Overlay apportionment & holds

OMB apportionment data surfaces the hold signal (appropriated − apportioned) and coverage. Footnotes and incorporated spend plans are treated as first-class — they encode the conditions that decide whether money is truly obligatable.

03

Model pace with seasonality

Federal obligations are back-loaded toward September. Pace is projected against historical monthly profiles, not a flat line — and the projection is shown as a labeled estimate with confidence, never as a hard number.

04

Stamp every figure

Each number carries its source and data_as_of. USAspending submissions can lag 30–90 days; we show that rather than calling the layer "real-time."

///// The signals

What the runway tells you, before the competition knows.

SIGNAL

Under-pace detection

Accounts obligating behind their seasonal pace — money the agency likely must commit before fiscal year-end.

SIGNAL

Use it or lose it

Material unobligated balances within the period-of-availability window before funds expire.

SIGNAL

OMB-hold signal

A widening gap between what Congress appropriated and what OMB has apportioned — a possible withhold.

SIGNAL

Reapportionment event

A new SF-132 iteration posts — a release, reprogramming, or rescission worth watching.

SIGNAL

Pre-solicitation watch

High remaining availability with no open SAM/Grants.gov notice — the window before the RFP drops.

SIGNAL

Market Opportunity Index

Remaining-available dollars aggregated across your target agencies, for BD strategy and forecasting.

An honest caveat.In a high-impoundment environment, a positive apportioned balance can be a false-positive "go." PursuitIQ shows holds and missing footnotes as a risk flag — uncertainty surfaced, not papered over.
///// Get started

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